Life In Coronavirus Lockdown: The Second Wave

COVID-19 cases in Australia (source: The Age)

Back in June things were looking promising in Australia as restrictions were lifted and places started to gradually open back up. I had three glorious weeks of being able to travel into the Melbourne CBD to go to the gym after work. However, coronavirus transmissions were bubbling away in Melbourne's north and west, likely from security breaches in hotel quarantine (there's currently a judicial inquiry to investigate what happened). As a result, Victoria's coronavirus case numbers started to increase again, and on 9 July Metropolitan Melbourne and Mitchell Shire went back into Stage 3 lockdown. The rest of the states and territories implemented travel bans against Victoria and we became the pariah of the country.

As of today there have been 16,906 cases and 196 deaths from COVID-19 in Australia, with the vast majority of these numbers coming from Victoria. Even current outbreaks of cases in New South Wales and Queensland can be traced back to people who have recently been in Melbourne. The closing of borders with Victoria resulted in every single Victorian sports team moving to hubs in other states (mainly Queensland) so seasons could continue. Now that Greater Sydney has been declared a hot spot their sports teams are also having to move so as to avoid 14 day state quarantines.

Every day around 11am I watch the Victorian press conference to get the daily update on numbers from Premier Dan Andrews and Victoria's Chief Health Officer Professor Brett Sutton. Despite being half way through our current six week Stage 3 lockdown, and a week into mandatory face mask/covering wearing, our numbers have not been improving as hoped. We were getting a few hundred new cases a day, but the last two days have been the worst yet with Thursday seeing a record-high 723 new cases and today 627 cases. The main transmission sources of this second wave have been in workplaces with more casual/insecure workers, abattoirs, public housing, healthcare workers and aged care homes.

It's quite disheartening that the current restrictions aren't bringing down the new case numbers. It was flagged today that further data analysis will be done in the next couple days to determine if Melbourne needs to go to Stage 4 lockdown. In any case, I don't think our current lockdown will be ending in the next three weeks on 19 August as currently planned. I also doubt I will be making it back into the office this year.

For some historical perspective, this article in The Age by Zach Hope looks at the parallels of our current situation with the 1919 Spanish flu in Melbourne - Masks, lockdowns and a second wave: A century on, history repeats itself.